KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 67%+7.0pt
Marktqualitat
62 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
344,1 €
Liquidität
3420,2 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
66.0% / 69.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
22. Mai 26, 17:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will construction of Trump's triumphal arch begin before the end of September?
Manifold MarketsWill a 250-foot triumphal arch be built across from the Lincoln Memorial before Trump leaves office?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
Polymarket$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRegeln
If construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 695.731,8 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 294.676,9 €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 291.319,2 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026??
- Kalshi bewertet Yes mit 67% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026? entschieden?
- Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will construction begin on Trump’s triumphal arch in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C. after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.