Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91.9%
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Fragetyp
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
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Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
14. Sept. 26, 19:52 UTC30. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Jacob Coxon publicly testify before congress by October 31?
PolymarketJacob Coxon Will Appear on the All-In Podcast with the Besties
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketTencent market share this week
KalshiRegeln
Two Jacob Co??n’s in AI safety — It hasn’t happened yet, but I feel like it’s bound to…
- Resolves YES if this unambiguously happened (eg someone sending me an email that was clearly meant for Jacob Coxon).
- Resolves 50% if it’s something more marginal / unclear (like if someone misspeaks).
- Resolves NO if I have no evidence this happened by the end of the month.
- I will be excluding any efforts that I suspect were done to manipulate this market.
- General policy for my markets: In the rare event of a conflict between my resolution criteria and the agreed-upon common-sense spirit of the market, I may resolve it according to the market's spirit or N/A, probably after discussion.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.6pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+0.4pt12.6%
- Gemini+1.6pt10.7%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 87.431,2 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-11.0pt69%
- December 15,-8.5pt65%
- November 30,-5.0pt50%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+18.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 228.542,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+13.0pt99%
- Above 24.7%+30.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%+1.0pt99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt25%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt19.8%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.7%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.55%99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 239.258,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 53.282,1 €
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
- Best AI this week
- When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will someone confuse me (Jacob Cohen) with Jacob Coxon during the month of September??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 92% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will someone confuse me (Jacob Cohen) with Jacob Coxon during the month of September? entschieden?
- Will someone confuse me (Jacob Cohen) with Jacob Coxon during the month of September? soll am 30. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will someone confuse me (Jacob Cohen) with Jacob Coxon during the month of September? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Two Jacob Co??n’s in AI safety — It hasn’t happened yet, but I feel like it’s bound to…