Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 95.8%
Prognostiker
118
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert1. Jan. 26, 01:35 UTC2. Jan. 27, 02:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhen will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
KalshiWill OpenAI solve a new millennium prize problem by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if at least one of the six remaining Millennium Prize Problems is solved in 2026.
- A problem is considered solved if:
- A complete proof is published in a peer-reviewed mathematics journal of worldwide repute, OR
- There is consensus among leading experts in the relevant field that the problem has been solved
- The proof must be published in a refereed mathematics publication of worldwide repute and achieve general acceptance in the mathematics community.