Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 99.2%
Prognostiker
46
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
1. Juni 26, 13:01 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI before 2032?
Manifold MarketsMillennium: Prize Problem solution published before 2028 and verified?
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point before January 1, 2028, the Clay Mathematics Institute (CMI) officially announces that one of the six remaining Millennium Prize Problems has been solved, or officially awards the Millennium Prize for its solution.
- The remaining six eligible problems are:
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer conjecture
- Hodge conjecture
- Navier–Stokes existence and smoothness
Offene Märkte
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 301%
- April 300%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 86.744,5 €
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 203076%
- Before 2029+38.1pt70%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 153.913,6 €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 2028+1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-0.3pt5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1+5.0pt75.5%
- 2-0.5pt21.6%
- 32%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5176,7 €
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-3.6pt77%
- No23%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 286.140,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3457,9 €
- When will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 99% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028? entschieden?
- Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria