Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 98%
Prognostiker
34
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 58 Minuten
Verzogert12. Mai 25, 15:43 UTC31. Dez. 31, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will some Millennium Prize Prize Problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill some Millennium Prize Problem be solved before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a correct solution to a Millennium Prize Problem be published by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2031, at least one of the six unsolved Millennium Prize Problems is solved primarily by an artificial intelligence (AI) system.
- The AI must be credited as the principal solver, not merely as a tool assisting human mathematicians.
- The solution must be published in a reputable, peer-reviewed mathematical journal and receive general acceptance in the global mathematics community.
- Official recognition by the Clay Mathematics Institute is not required for resolution.
- If no such AI-driven solution is achieved by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."