Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 85.3%
Prognostiker
54
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binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet23. Apr. 24, 11:55 UTC29. Dez. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Iran use Nuclear weapons?
Manifold MarketsWill Poland acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill any country that is not currently known to have nuclear weapons detonate a nuclear weapon in 2026? (Tests included)
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia invade another country in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
Both nuclear sharing and own developement count as YES.
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-2.0pt75%
- New People (NL)+4.3pt24%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt1%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 31,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3,7 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 58,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 302.141,3 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.3pt56.6%
- October 31-1.0pt31.1%
- September 30-2.0pt10.4%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-2.0pt19%
- October 31-1.0pt10%
- September 30-1.2pt2%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 2094%
- September 25+4.5pt87%
- September 30-1.0pt74%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- No Meeting by September 30-4.3pt88%
- USA+5.7pt10%
- Qatar-0.5pt1%
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
- 2026 Nobel Peace Prize winner
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 85% (Stand: 18. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027? entschieden?
- Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027? soll am 29. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Poland get nuclear weapons by the end of 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Both nuclear sharing and own developement count as YES.