Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 86.1%
Prognostiker
28
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet24. Feb. 24, 22:13 UTC1. März 31, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will China control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill North Korea collapse before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill North Korea bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsNumber of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?
PolymarketWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
PolymarketWill Trump visit North Korea by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves as YES if North Korea controls Vladivostok on January 1st 2031
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-4.1pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 470.753,1 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+1.0pt80%
- September 18+1.0pt75%
- September 11+6.5pt70%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No-0.2pt96%
- Yes+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.050,2 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- December 317%
- September 30+0.1pt1%
- July 310%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will North Korea control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2031??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 86% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will North Korea control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2031? entschieden?
- Will North Korea control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2031? soll am 1. März 2031 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will North Korea control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2031? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves as YES if North Korea controls Vladivostok on January 1st 2031