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Verzogert28. Dez. 23, 13:01 UTC1. Jan. 31, 23:59 UTC
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Will North Korea control Vladivostok on Jan 1st 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill Kim Jong Un be the leader of North Korea at the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill North Korea bring a fifth generation fighter into service by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
PolymarketNorth Korea x South Korea diplomatic meeting by...? (direct or indirect)
PolymarketRegeln
This question seeks to predict the political and socio-economic stability of North Korea, specifically focusing on whether the country will experience a collapse of its current regime or governmental structure before the end of the year 2030.
- For this question, "collapse" is defined as a significant and observable breakdown in the current governing framework, which could manifest in several ways, including but not limited to:
- Major Overhaul in Leadership: A complete change in the top leadership, not following the established line of succession, due to internal upheaval, coup, revolution, or other extraordinary political changes.
- Severe Economic Breakdown: A catastrophic economic failure that leads to a breakdown of internal order, resulting in a humanitarian crisis or necessitating international intervention.
- Large-scale Civil Unrest: Widespread civil disorder or an uprising that effectively disrupts the current governmental control and leads to a change in the regime.
- External Intervention: An intervention by foreign powers that significantly alters or displaces the current governmental structure.