Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 85.4%
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet9. Dez. 23, 23:41 UTC1. März 29, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Australia have a larger GDP than Canada in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a massive global financial crisis, larger than any before seen in human history, before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsBrazil unemployment rate in August
KalshiJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
KalshiUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves as YES if Mexico has a larger GDP than Brazil in the year from January 1st 2028 -> December 31st 2028
Offene Märkte
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52%
- No change-3.0pt46.1%
- 25 bps decrease+0.1pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 323.760,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 25.322,6 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 523.015,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 22.020,6 €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes+1.0pt2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 611.805,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.786,9 €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP86%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10.510,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 10.510,6 €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 7679,2 €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone Annual GDP Growth 2026
- Jobs numbers in Sep 2026?
- Mexico unemployment rate in August
- 2026: Trump's dream year?
- Unemployment in September
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 85% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028? entschieden?
- Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028? soll am 1. März 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves as YES if Mexico has a larger GDP than Brazil in the year from January 1st 2028 -> December 31st 2028