Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 76.1%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet9. Dez. 23, 23:45 UTC1. März 28, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Mexico have a larger GDP than Brazil in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Nigeria have a larger GDP than South Africa in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a massive global financial crisis, larger than any before seen in human history, before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsAustralia unemployment rate in August
KalshiAustralia Nominal GDP in 2026
KalshiFed Decision in September?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves as YES if Australia has a larger GDP than Canada in the year from January 1st 2027 -> December 31st 2027
Offene Märkte
EconomyPOLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+2.0pt54%
- No change-3.0pt45%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 541.193 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 30.703 €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above 0.1%99%
- Above -0.4%+1.0pt99%
- Above -0.3%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 334.228 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.782,3 €
KALSHIUS government budget balance in 2026
- Above -8.5% of GDP97%
- Above -8.0% of GDP71%
- Above -7.5% of GDP58%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10.726,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 10.726,9 €
KALSHIGovernment shutdown on Oct 1, 2026?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 612.533,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 6886,5 €
KALSHIRecession this year?
- No95%
- Yes+1.0pt5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5285,2 €
- Recession in 2027?
- Will the Citrini scenario happen?
- France’s government budget balance in 2026
- United Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
- Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026
- China’s government budget balance in 2026
- Germany’s government budget balance in 2026
- CPI in September
- CPI core in August
- State of the economy at the end of 2026
- US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?
- Unemployment in September
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Australia have a larger GDP than Canada in 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 76% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Australia have a larger GDP than Canada in 2027? entschieden?
- Will Australia have a larger GDP than Canada in 2027? soll am 1. März 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Australia have a larger GDP than Canada in 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves as YES if Australia has a larger GDP than Canada in the year from January 1st 2027 -> December 31st 2027