Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet6. Dez. 24, 23:57 UTC1. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Marc Andreessen be right that a replacement to the Francis Scott Key Bridge will not open before Mar 26 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any of Austin LessWrong attendees start a company with over 1M USD in revenue, in 2026?
Manifold Markets💰If the first $10 Trillion dollar company is NOT Apple or Microsoft, which company will it be?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketRegeln
If Marc Andreessen is listed as a founder or co-founder of a new company (excluding investment firms, venture capital firms, or holding companies) in any official business filing or reputable news source before January 1, 2026, this market resolves YES.
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.6pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+0.4pt12.6%
- Gemini+1.6pt10.7%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 87.431,2 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-11.0pt69%
- December 15,-8.5pt65%
- November 30,-5.0pt50%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+18.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 228.542,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+13.0pt99%
- Above 24.7%+30.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%+1.0pt99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt25%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt19.8%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.7%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.55%99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 239.258,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 53.282,1 €
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
- Best AI this week
- When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 98% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026? entschieden?
- Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Marc Andreessen start a new company (not an investment firm) by 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Marc Andreessen is listed as a founder or co-founder of a new company (excluding investment firms, venture capital firms, or holding companies) in any official business filing or reputable news source before January 1, 2026, this market resolves YES.