Will Iran strike US military base at least once in September?
MonthlyGeopolitikMiddle EastHealth & Medicine22TManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 61.3%
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Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
5. Sept. 26, 04:38 UTC30. Sept. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Iran directly strike a US military base in September 2026?
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, between its creation on September 5, 2026, and September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC, Iranian state military forces (including the regular military/Artesh or the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps/IRGC) execute an attack that successfully strikes a U.S. military base or a military facility housing U.S. armed forces.
- For the purposes of this market, a "strike" requires a projectile, missile, or drone to physically impact, detonate within the perimeter of, or cause documented damage or casualties at the targeted U.S. military facility.
- Attacks that are fully intercepted, shot down, or land harmlessly outside the facility's perimeter without causing documented damage or casualties will resolve the market to NO.
- Any attacks that occurred prior to the market's creation (such as the attacks on September 1–3, 2026) are excluded and will not count toward a YES resolution.
- Sources of Truth: Resolution will be determined using official statements from the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) and U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM), or consensus reports from major independent international news agencies (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, Agence France-Presse).
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Iran strike US military base at least once in September??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 61% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Iran strike US military base at least once in September? entschieden?
- Will Iran strike US military base at least once in September? soll am 30. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Iran strike US military base at least once in September? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria