Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 76.8%
Prognostiker
5
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binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet4. Feb. 24, 22:37 UTC2. Jan. 35, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
PolymarketWill the European Commission's AI Office issue a formal notice of non-compliance to a provider of a "High-Risk AI System" on or before December 31, 2026?
ForecastExWill Iceland become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Switzerland become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Norway become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketRegeln
Auflösungskriterien sind für diesen Markt noch nicht verfügbar. Dieser Abschnitt wird nach den nächsten Aktualisierungen gefüllt, sobald die Quellregeln gespeichert sind.
Offene Märkte
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 617.449 €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 821.515,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 107.747,7 €
POLYMARKETMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- AfD+2.0pt78.4%
- SPD-1.0pt21.6%
- CDU0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.0pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-2.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.8pt1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Berlin State Election Winner
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
- AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
- Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Hungary still be a voting member of the EU European Commission in 2035??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 77% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Hungary still be a voting member of the EU European Commission in 2035? entschieden?
- Will Hungary still be a voting member of the EU European Commission in 2035? soll am 2. Januar 2035 entschieden werden.