Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 58.4%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet2. Apr. 25, 23:23 UTC31. Dez. 39, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Switzerland become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Norway become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Greenland become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketNext leader out of power before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Iceland has become a member of the European Union before January 1st 2040.
- This also applies if a main successor to Iceland joins a main successor to the EU before that date. “Strong evidence” may include formal accession treaties, official announcements by relevant governing bodies, or other clear confirmation that membership has been granted.
- If there is no such membership or evidence thereof by January 1st 2040, the market will resolve as NO.