Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 69.2%
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18
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet2. Apr. 25, 23:19 UTC31. Dez. 39, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Iceland become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Norway become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill Canada become a member of the EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsSwitzerland’s September Referendum: What will pass?
PolymarketWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Switzerland has become a member of the European Union before January 1st 2040.
- This also applies if a main successor to Switzerland joins a main successor to the EU before that date. “Strong evidence” may include formal accession treaties, official announcements by relevant governing bodies, or other clear confirmation that membership has been granted.
- If there is no such membership or evidence thereof by January 1st 2040, the market will resolve as NO.
Offene Märkte
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
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- 22,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 617.449 €
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- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
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POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
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- 821.515,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 107.747,7 €
POLYMARKETMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- AfD+2.0pt78.4%
- SPD-1.0pt21.6%
- CDU0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.0pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-2.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.8pt1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Berlin State Election Winner
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
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- Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
- AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Switzerland become a member of the EU before 2040??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 69% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Switzerland become a member of the EU before 2040? entschieden?
- Will Switzerland become a member of the EU before 2040? soll am 31. Dezember 2039 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Switzerland become a member of the EU before 2040? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that Switzerland has become a member of the European Union before January 1st 2040.