Von der Leyen out as European Commission President in 2026?
1.0% (24h)One-OffPolitikEuropeGeopolitik6Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 9%-0.0%
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
2669,5 €
Liquidität
17.605,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
7.0% / 11.0%
Spread
57.1%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
-4.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
16. Jan. 26, 17:4131. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes9%
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ursula von der Leyen ceases to be the President of the European Commission for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of von der Leyen's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from the European Commission and the European Union, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.