Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 89.4%
Prognostiker
20
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 40 Minuten
2. Nov. 22, 00:52 UTC1. Jan. 00, 08:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Is there currently a black hole inside the Earth?
Manifold MarketsWill someone fall into a black hole by 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill any black hole smaller than 10^12kg and larger than 1kg be discovered or created before 2100?
Manifold MarketsAction Principle for a Dynamical Black Hole Mimicker Formation
Manifold MarketsWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if humans create a black hole before the close date, otherwise resolves no.
- If it's discovered that human activity in the past has created black holes, such as in LHC collisions, that also counts.