KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before 2040 40.8%Führend unter 3 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
45 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
14.797,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
3.2 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
4. Juni 25, 14:00 UTC1. Jan. 30, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Helion provide nuclear fusion power to a data center before end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a significant breakthrough in nuclear fusion technology by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a nuclear fusion reaction be maintained continuously for >24hrs before the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
PolymarketWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
KalshiWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
KalshiRegeln
If nuclear fusion is achieved before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If nuclear fusion is achieved before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If nuclear fusion is achieved before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- September 301%
- April 300%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 86.744,5 €
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 2035+10.0pt85%
- Before 203076%
- Before 2029+38.1pt70%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 153.913,6 €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 2029-1.0pt20%
- Before 2028+1.0pt13%
- Before 2027-0.3pt5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 28,6 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1+5.0pt75.5%
- 2-0.5pt21.6%
- 32%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- No96%
- Yes+1.9pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 5176,7 €
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes-3.6pt77%
- No23%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 286.140,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 3457,9 €
- When will Intellia Therapeutics submit a BLA for Lonvo-z?
- How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
- Will there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
- Which country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- When will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
- 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- 10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
- How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide September 7 - September 13?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will nuclear fusion be achieved??
- Kalshi bewertet Before 2040 mit 41% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will nuclear fusion be achieved? entschieden?
- When will nuclear fusion be achieved? soll am 1. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will nuclear fusion be achieved? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If nuclear fusion is achieved before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.