Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 29.10.2026, 12:49 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 90.7%
Prognostiker
19
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert gestern
Veraltet24. Feb. 25, 10:11 UTC1. Jan. 30, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Americans lose the right to dual citizenship before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump threaten to cancel AUKUS before 2029?
Manifold MarketsUK abolishes birthright citizenship for children of non-settled parents before EOY2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any country declare an AI eligible to apply for citizenship by 2044?
Manifold MarketsNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Germany recently enacted significant citizenship reforms that took effect on June 27, 2024.
- The new law explicitly allows dual citizenship as a general rule, marking a departure from previous restrictions.
- This change aims to modernize Germany's citizenship laws and make naturalization more accessible to long-term residents.
- Resolution Criteria
- This market will resolve YES if the German government passes legislation or implements policy changes that explicitly prohibit or cancel the ability to hold dual citizenship for German citizens before Jan 1st, 2030.
- The market will resolve NO if: