Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92.9%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert13. Jan. 26, 04:06 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Adriano Espaillat run in the 2026 NY13 general election as an independent or third party candidate?
Manifold MarketsWill I get paid from a side gig as an independent contractor.
Manifold MarketsWill Liechtenstein continue to exist as an independent state in 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump recognize Somaliland?
KalshiUS recognition of an independent Palestinean state in 2026?
FutuurUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
A clear statement from the Ethiopian government would be enough, they don't have to open an embassy
Offene Märkte
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75.5%
- New People (NL)-4.0pt21.4%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.5pt2%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 423.353,7 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.1%
- October 31-1.0pt28.5%
- September 30-1.0pt13%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 35,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 95.404,2 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+20 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Yulia Navalnaya8%
- UNRWA-0.1pt7%
- International Court of Justice+1.1pt6%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Iran full airspace closure by which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- Russia x Ukraine peace talks by which date?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland as an independent state in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 93% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland as an independent state in 2026? entschieden?
- Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland as an independent state in 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Ethiopia formally recognise Somaliland as an independent state in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: A clear statement from the Ethiopian government would be enough, they don't have to open an embassy