Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91.3%
Prognostiker
9
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet12. Juni 26, 23:59 UTC31. Dez. 44, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Wales become a US state before 2045?
Manifold MarketsWill any portion of Greenland become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Alberta become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Panama become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWill any portion of Canada become a US state, territory, or other federal jurisdiction by December 31, 2028?
ForecastExWhich US Territories will be a part of a US State by 2045?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves as YES if England, or a successor political entity consisting substantially of the territory of England, is formally admitted to the United States as a U.S. state with an effective date before January 1st 2045.
- Resolution will be based on official legal recognition by the United States, such as an Act of Congress admitting England as a state, and the admission must have legally taken effect before the deadline.
- Resolves as NO if England has not become a U.S. state before January 1st 2045, including if it only becomes a U.S. territory, protectorate, commonwealth, associated state, military-administered region, or otherwise falls under U.S. influence without full U.S. statehood.
- If the entire United Kingdom, Great Britain, or another larger entity containing England is admitted as a single U.S. state, this market resolves YES only if England is included in that state at the time of admission.
