Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 68.9%
Prognostiker
5
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet27. Juni 25, 04:38 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
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PolymarketWill any country officially ban or heavily restrict the use of advanced AI systems before January 1, 2027
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KalshiWill North Korea and South Korea be unified with a formula like 'one country, two systems' by 2030?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the U.S. make an official statement before 2030 threatening nuclear use in the defense of Taiwan?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before January 1, 2027, there is credible evidence from reputable sources confirming that China has sold Surface-to-Air Missile (SAM) air defense systems to Iran.
- Acceptable evidence includes official government announcements, reports from established defense industry publications, or coverage by major international news organizations.
- If no such evidence is available by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
- China and Iran have a history of military cooperation, including joint naval exercises and defense agreements.
- (apnews.com) In 2021, the two nations signed a 25-year comprehensive cooperation agreement encompassing various sectors, including military collaboration.