Who will be Israeli defense minister after the election?
4.0 Pkt. (24h)PolitikOne-OffSchachWahlNaher OstenSport4J
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Israel Katz · —
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Gespeicherter Preis
Israel Katz 10.5%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Israel Katz 10.5%Marktqualitat
38 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1381 €
Open Interest
4600,8 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
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Israel KatzSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 29 Minuten
28. Aug. 26, 22:00 UTC28. Okt. 30, 03:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
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- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Israel Katz
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Israel Katz is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The Times of Israel
- Only reporting from The Times of Israel qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. This market concerns the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, including a government formed after repeat elections. A new government is formed when the Knesset expresses confidence in it. A retained incumbent counts if appointed in that new government; continuation in the outgoing government does not. Minister of Defense means the holder of the Defense portfolio, including a Prime Minister who also formally holds it. An acting substitute, deputy minister, additional minister within the Defense Ministry, or Minister of National Security does not count. If the portfolio is initially vacant, the first person subsequently appointed to it in that government counts. Nominations, coalition agreements, intended appointments, and hypothetical scenarios do not qualify as taking office. Later replacements do not change the first officeholder.
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Israel Katz
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Israel Katz is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Itamar Ben-Gvir
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Itamar Ben-Gvir is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yoav Gallant
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Yoav Gallant is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ofer Winter
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Ofer Winter is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Naftali Bennett
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Naftali Bennett is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Avigdor Lieberman
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Avigdor Lieberman is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gadi Eisenkot
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Gadi Eisenkot is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Benjamin Netanyahu
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Benjamin Netanyahu is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Yair Golan
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Yair Golan is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Benny Gantz
- If it is reported by The Times of Israel after Issuance and before Oct 28, 2030 that Benny Gantz is the first Minister of Defense to take office in the first new Israeli government formed after the next Knesset election, then the market resolves to Yes.
