Because the resolution criteria are somewhat subjective, I will not be trading in this market.
Basically trying to answer this as a reasonable person would:
I'm imagining a movie that looks like a live-action film; cartoons don't count.
It should clearly depict the story of OpenAI's firing-Sama drama, etc. I think it's okay if the script was written by a human who fed it to a model that produced the movie.
It would be nice, of course, if the script were mostly generated by an LLM, but that part is doable with the right prompt engineering using current technology, so it shouldn't be part of the resolution criteria.
Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out??
Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 92% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
Wann wird Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out? entschieden?
Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out? soll am 2. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
Wie wird Will an AI tool be able to generate a feature-length movie about the OpenAI drama before the regular movie comes out? abgerechnet?
Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Because the resolution criteria are somewhat subjective, I will not be trading in this market.