Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 14:05 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 53.2%
Prognostiker
32
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet15. Feb. 24, 02:00 UTC1. Jan. 36, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a human clone be a registered citizen anywhere before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill it be found out by 2052 that a human clone was created before September 5th, 2022, that lived for at least 9 months after conception?
Manifold MarketsWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiWill the VLA15 Lyme Disease vaccine "pass" its phase 3 human trial?
Manifold MarketsHantavirus vaccine in 2026?
PolymarketHow many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to YES if, before the end of 2035, a human clone is born and survives for at least one day.
- Only creating a fertilized egg will not count, the embryo must be grown until birth.