KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before 2040 64%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
17.658,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
3.8 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
14. Aug. 25, 20:45 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will someone run DOOM on a quantum computer by the end of 2026?
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KalshiRegeln
If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:Physical Review XQuantum Science and TechnologyProceedings of the National Academy of SciencesPhysical Review AMIT Technology ReviewReutersAssociated PressBloomberg NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe New York TimesNature
- If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2040, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,000 or above99%
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- $77,000 or above98%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1 Mio. €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
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- 180-199+7.0pt39.2%
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LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 204.863 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 204.434,9 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+37.0pt99%
- Chicago+17.0pt99%
- Boston+34.0pt51%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 163.992,2 €
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für When will the first useful quantum computer be developed??
- Kalshi bewertet Before 2040 mit 64% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? entschieden?
- When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird When will the first useful quantum computer be developed? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If a quantum computer cracks 2048-bit RSA encryption using Shor's algorithm, or accurately simulates either the nitrogenase FeMo cofactor or cytochrome P450 enzyme before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.