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AI Warning Signs: Will an AI system self-replicate on the open internet like a computer virus before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill any computer virus powered by AI cause large damages to digital infrastructure by 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill a quantum computer prove capable of breaking 2048 bit RSA encryption by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a quantum computer factor the RSA-2048 challenge number before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first useful quantum computer be developed?
KalshiWill ANOTHER millennium prize problem be solved in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves Yes if by official report or peer-reviewed publication confirming the identification of a virus specifically designed for quantum computers by 2030.
