When will a humanoid robot be able to unbox a 5,000+ piece new Lego set, read the manual, and assemble the entire model?
0.5 Pkt. (24h)One-OffTechnikWissenschaftManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 05:41 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose2028 25.1%+0.5ptFührend unter 9 Optionen
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Play-money forecasting platform
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+0.5 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet9. Jan. 26, 08:29 UTC1. Jan. 01, 07:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES when a humanoid robot (bipedal, anthropomorphic form factor) successfully completes all of the following in a single, continuous attempt:
- Unboxes a previously unreleased Lego set with 5,000+ pieces
- Reads and interprets the instruction manual as provided to human builders
- Assembles the entire model according to the manual without human intervention
- Resolution will be determined by video evidence published by the robot manufacturer or verified by independent third parties.
