KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 55%
Marktqualitat
61 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
111 €
Liquidität
14.428 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
45.0% / 49.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
18. Dez. 24, 15:00 UTC1. Jan. 35, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a humanoid robot walk on the mars before a human does?
Manifold MarketsWill a humanoid robot walk on the moon before an animal does
Manifold MarketsWhen will a humanoid robot first be used as farm labor?
Manifold MarketsWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
PolymarketWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiNatural Disaster in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
If a humanoid robot walks on Mars before a human does before 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:The New York Times
Offene Märkte
Space
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- Yes93.1%
- No6.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 190.020,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 190.020,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-2.0pt88%
- OpenAI+0.5pt9%
- Google+0.8pt3%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 114.496,9 €
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+23.5pt89%
- 2026+37.0pt62%
- September 30, 2026+29.0pt36%
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture39.6%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer28.3%
- No solution by Dec 31, 202717%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 27.742,1 €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best Image Edit AI end of September?
- OpenAI85.7%
- Google7.6%
- Reve0.9%
+11 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 14.831 €
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 2027+0.5pt54%
- June 30, 202742.7%
- 2026-1.4pt3.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Which company has the best Image-to-Video AI end of September?
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
- SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
- Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does??
- Kalshi bewertet No mit 55% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? entschieden?
- Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? soll am 1. Januar 2035 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a humanoid robot walk on Mars before a human does? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If a humanoid robot walks on Mars before a human does before 2035, then the market resolves to Yes.