Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 86.5%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet8. Juli 25, 23:33 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2030, wild honey bee populations are declared functionally extinct in the USA by a reputable scientific organization or governmental body. "Functionally extinct" is defined as a species whose population has declined to the point where it can no longer play a significant role in its ecosystem or sustain a viable population.
- Official declarations from organizations such as the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) or the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service will serve as the primary sources for resolution.
- If no such declaration is made by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No."
