Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseUSA 56.8%Führend unter 6 Optionen
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81
Fragetyp
multiple choice
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+0.4 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet12. Aug. 23, 13:04 UTC1. Jan. 33, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Earth have space-based solar power at scale by 2060?
Manifold MarketsWill a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a city be built in Antarctica for permanent human residence by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWill the human civilization collapse before we become multi planetary species?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRegeln
There are many nations and organizations that have plans about going to the Moon.
- And some of the plans are more ambitious than realistic.
- What nationality will the next human to set foot on the moon have?
- This bet will be resolved the day after the event has happened.
- Unsuccessful landings and scrabs does not count.
- The astronauts needs to survive the landing for it to count.
