Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Samuel Alito 56.1%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Samuel Alito 56.1%Prognostiker
41
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-6.4 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet9. Juli 24, 16:57 UTC17. Juli 30, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?
Manifold MarketsWill a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsWill a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Supreme Court justice?
KalshiWill any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
KalshiIf Republicans keep the Senate in 2026, will a Supreme Court justice leave the Court before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves when any Supreme Court Justice retires or dies while serving.
- Update 2025-22-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Any Justice leaving the Court will resolve this as YES.
- Expanding the size of the Court has no impact on a Justice leaving it.
