Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 91.6%
Prognostiker
60
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet9. Nov. 24, 15:25 UTC16. Jan. 29, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will be the next Supreme Court justice?
KalshiWill Ted Cruz be a Supreme Court Justice before January 20 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill the next Supreme Court justice be appointed by a Democrat?
Manifold MarketsWhich Supreme Court justice will retire/die next?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketNew Supreme Court justice confirmed?
KalshiRegeln
Will a US Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term? Only includes retirements, not deaths, impeachments, or other removals or changes (e.g. court expansion).
- Resolves NO when Donald Trump’s second term ends, and N/A if he never begins a second term.
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 695.731,8 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 294.676,9 €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 291.319,2 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 92% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term? entschieden?
- Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term? soll am 16. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Will a US Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term? Only includes retirements, not deaths, impeachments, or other removals or changes (e.g. court expansion).