Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseSamuel Alito 54.5%+4.7ptFührend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker
72
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+4.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden
Veraltet5. Aug. 22, 18:56 UTC13. Aug. 30, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which Supreme Court Justice will retire or die next?
Manifold MarketsWill a Supreme Court justice retire during Trump’s second term?
Manifold MarketsWill a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketWho will be the next Supreme Court justice?
KalshiIf Democrats win the Senate in 2026, will the Senate confirm a new Supreme Court justice before January 3, 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves based on which seat is first to become open due to the resignation or death of a current justice.