Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Energy density (400 Wh/kg) 92%Führend unter 13 Optionen
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet22. März 26, 19:06 UTC31. Dez. 27, 20:03 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?
Manifold MarketsDonut Battery powered car delivered by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill commercial fusion plants deliver grid electricity from seawater deuterium by EOY 2035?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on which of Donut Lab's promised metrics fail to be independently verified or delivered in real-world conditions by the end of 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by:
- Independent pack-level energy density measurements and cycle life data beyond cell-level thermal tests
- Real-world performance data from Verge Motorcycles deliveries and independent teardowns
- Third-party testing reports (prioritizing VTT Technical Research Centre and equivalent institutions)
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 132.799,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 100.316,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 322.392,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
- 1490+-3.5pt51%
- 1500+-1.0pt30%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which promised metric will donut battery fail to deliver on.?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Energy density (400 Wh/kg) mit 92% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which promised metric will donut battery fail to deliver on. entschieden?
- Which promised metric will donut battery fail to deliver on. soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which promised metric will donut battery fail to deliver on. abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria