Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 11.07.2026, 15:41 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseOver $4.00 100%Führend unter 17 Optionen
Prognostiker
46
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert gestern
Veraltet25. März 26, 10:1731. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Over $4.6051%
Plattformen vergleichen· Over $4.00
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBeste insgesamt90% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | Mittel | 43% | — | 11.165,8 € | 512.878,8 € | vor 19 Minuten | Öffnen → |
| Manifold MarketsDiese Seite | — | 100% | — | — | — | gestern |
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
1.0%5Mon
-1.0%5%
-2.0%9%
+4.0%43%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
73 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen962.878,7 €
24h-Volumen11.165,8 €
KALSHIRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The national average for regular gasoline is tracked by AAA, which publishes weekly updates at gasprices.aaa.com.
- Each answer resolves YES if the national average price reaches or exceeds that threshold at any point during 2026, and NO if it does not.
- Resolution will be determined by the highest daily average reported by AAA for the year.
- As of March 19, 2026, the national average gas price was $3.81 per gallon, up from $3.53 on March 12.
- The recent spike was driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions, with the national average up 60 cents in two weeks as Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz and crude oil prices surged to $119 per barrel.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$708. Juli4T Daten11. Juli
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
US gasoline CPI for June
10.754,8 €Above 365ㅤ: 1%KALSHI
KALSHIUS gasoline CPI for July
157,6 €Above 415ㅤ: 89%KALSHI
KALSHI
US electricity price in June
91,1 €Above 19.8¢: 98%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
0 €$10.000+: 28.5%
LIMITLESS
LIMITLESSWill GPT-5 be able to get gold on the International Mathematical Olympiad?
438,6 €Ja: 23%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Nate Silver vs Manifold: Trump 2nd Term Predictions
228 €[Baseline Politics] Democrats win the House in the 2026 midterms (Nate: 85%): 90.6%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
UN's First AI Safety Panel Says Scientists Can't Rule Out 'Catastrophic Harm'Decrypt
NVIDIA Explores RLVR for AI Agents with Nemotron 3 SuperBlockchain.News
X.ai Launches No-Code Voice Agent Builder for Grok VoiceBlockchain.NewsNVIDIA Expands U.S. AI Manufacturing with $500B VisionBlockchain.News
Anthropic restores AI models Fable, Mythos after the U.S. lifts export controlsCoindesk
Anthropic to bring back Fable 5 as US lifts export controlsCointelegraphRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The national average for regular gasoline is tracked by AAA, which publishes weekly updates at gasprices.aaa.com.
- Each answer resolves YES if the national average price reaches or exceeds that threshold at any point during 2026, and NO if it does not.
- Resolution will be determined by the highest daily average reported by AAA for the year.
- As of March 19, 2026, the national average gas price was $3.81 per gallon, up from $3.53 on March 12.
- The recent spike was driven by Middle East geopolitical tensions, with the national average up 60 cents in two weeks as Iran closed the Strait of Hormuz and crude oil prices surged to $119 per barrel.