Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 84.2%
Prognostiker
166
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
4. März 26, 03:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 03:50 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will I deem Donut Lab's solid state battery claims in their video to have been false one year from now?
Manifold MarketsDonut Battery powered car delivered by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich promised metric will donut battery fail to deliver on.
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiHow many people will Neuralink have implanted in 2026?
KalshiAI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
(This settles EOY if necessary but we will surely know much sooner)
- Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if independent testing confirms the Donut Battery contains less than 0.1% lithium by weight.
- The market resolves NO if testing confirms lithium content at or above 0.1% by weight.
- Resolution will be determined by peer-reviewed analysis, official company disclosure with third-party verification, or independent laboratory testing from credible institutions (e.g., VTT Technical Research Centre, university materials science departments, or certified battery analysis labs).
- Links to testing results and composition data will serve as primary resolution sources.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8am EDT?
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
- $78,100 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 961.071,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 741.910,1 €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above99%
- $69,500 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 701.281,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 685.821 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 1 - September 8, 2026?
- 200-219+46.0pt95%
- 220-239-11.4pt5%
- 40-590%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
- $68,500 or above97%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 907.202,1 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+4.0pt27.4%
- 200-219+5.0pt22.6%
- 160-179-4.0pt20.6%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+4.0pt88.1%
- OpenAI-1.7pt9.9%
- Google-0.2pt2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- Next James Bond actor?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Ist die Donut Battery im Wesentlichen lithiumfrei??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 84% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Ist die Donut Battery im Wesentlichen lithiumfrei? entschieden?
- Ist die Donut Battery im Wesentlichen lithiumfrei? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Ist die Donut Battery im Wesentlichen lithiumfrei? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: (This settles EOY if necessary but we will surely know much sooner)