Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 91.1%
Prognostiker
39
Fragetyp
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Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet6. Jan. 26, 02:16 UTC1. Feb. 31, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Donut Battery is essentially Lithium free?
Manifold MarketsWhich promised metric will donut battery fail to deliver on.
Manifold MarketsWill Valve announce a wearable, battery powered gaming PC?
Manifold MarketsWill a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketRegeln
Will any of the following automakers deliver a road‑legal passenger vehicle using Donut Lab’s all‑solid‑state Donut Battery as its main traction battery to a retail customer on or before 2030‑12‑31: Toyota, Volkswagen Group, Ford, Hyundai, Honda, Nissan, Kia, BYD, General Motors (incl.
- Chevrolet), BMW, Mercedes‑Benz, Stellantis, Suzuki, Changan, Geely, Renault, Mitsubishi, Porsche, Mazda?
- Resolution criteria
- Covered automakers: Exactly this list: Toyota; Volkswagen Group; Ford; Hyundai; Honda; Nissan; Kia; BYD; General Motors (including Chevrolet as a GM brand); BMW; Mercedes‑Benz; Stellantis; Suzuki; Changan; Geely; Renault; Mitsubishi; Porsche; Mazda.
- Vehicle type:
- Must be a series‑production, road‑legal passenger vehicle (car, SUV, or light van) homologated for public roads in at least one country.
