Will commercial fusion plants deliver grid electricity from seawater deuterium by EOY 2035?
WetterOne-Off9J
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 75%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert22. Feb. 26, 21:53 UTC31. Dez. 35, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will Australia no longer burn fossil fuels for grid electricity?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK’s National Grid be carbon neutral by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion deploy a commercial fusion reactor before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the first commercial fusion reactor use inertial confinement fusion? (And not magnetic confinement fusion)
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Oct 29, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 29, 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Will we have abundant clean energy from seawater-fusion power plants on the grid by EOY 2035?
- Credible sources (CFS/DOE announcements, Bloomberg/Reuters, independent audits, or major scientific reports) confirm at least one fusion plant is grid-connected and has supplied net electricity commercially by Dec 31, 2035.
- Abundant clean energy” is demonstrated by the plant operating at meaningful commercial scale (>50 MW) and showing the clear path to dramatically lower energy costs.