Which company has best AI model end of September 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
KIManifold MarketsGeschlossenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertDieser Markt wurde entschieden: Google (97.3%)
Entschieden: 01.10.2025, 11:11
Vom Anbieter verifizierte Auflösung
CoinRithm hat anbietergestützte Nachweise für Gewinner und Auflösungszeit dieses Marktes.
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseGoogle 97.3%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Prognostiker
108
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 197 Tagen
Veraltet4. Juli 25, 17:0130. Sept. 25, 23:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
OpenAI0.1%
xAI0.2%
Anthropic1.3%
Google97.3%
Meta0%
Alibaba0%
DeepSeek1%
Other0%
97.3%
1.3%
1%
0.2%
0.1%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of September 30th, 2025 11:59PM ET.
- In the case of a tie, all companies tied for 1st place resolve to equal probability, such that they sum to 100%.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-96p0nLU5A5)(https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-spP5uLOAQR)(https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-QcqLtdnQnN)@/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model @/Bayesian/who-will-have-the-best-texttoimage-SO0uN6suuS
- @/Bayesian/who-will-have-the-best-texttovideo-AtZ0CdIc8Z
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-computer@/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-vision-ai-en
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-search-ai-mo
Offene Märkte
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 255.550,9 €
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 143.613,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 130.468,9 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 7,8 Mio. €
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which company has best AI model end of September 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Google mit 97% (Stand: 4. Februar 2026).
- Wann wird Which company has best AI model end of September 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) entschieden?
- Which company has best AI model end of September 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) soll am 30. September 2025 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which company has best AI model end of September 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of September 30th, 2025 11:59PM ET.