Aktuelle Community-Prognose
By end of 2037 84.1%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet5. Feb. 26, 09:06 UTC31. Dez. 39, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be over 1 GW of data center on the moon by EOY 2032?
Manifold MarketsAmericas data center capacity at the end of 2026
KalshiWill at least 1% of datacenter capacity be in space by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 100 GW of solar power on the Moon before there is 100 GW of solar power in orbit?
Manifold MarketsTexas enacts data center moratorium by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution Criteria:
- Resolves YES for an option if, by that date, space-based data centers meet ALL of:
- Location: In space (beyond the Kármán line, 100km altitude)
- Aggregate capacity: ≥10GW total power draw capacity across all qualifying space-based data center infrastructure, cumulative across all operators and facilities
- AI compute: Each contributing facility must be used for machine learning workloads (training or inference)
- Power accounting: Counts power draw by compute equipment (GPUs/TPUs/accelerators, CPUs, memory, networking, cooling).