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1GW of solar power in Earth orbit by EOY 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill there be more than 1GW of in-space solar power generation by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill there be more than 10GW of off-earth solar power generation by 2050?
Manifold MarketsWhich comes first: 1GW of solar in orbit, or on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketHow many launches will SpaceX have in October?
KalshiRegeln
Currently Elon plans to focus on orbital power for data centers but it seems much easier to make solar on the moon and set it up there.
- If all the GPUs are in one building it is far easier to have a fast interconnect.
- Radiation shielding is far easier on the moon, just pile some regolith on top.
- Replacing bad GPUs is far easier in a lunar data center than with 1 million different sats.
- If you make a solar power grid 3 degrees from the lunar pole part would be in the sun at any time so you can have power 24/7 without batteries.
- A data center on the moon can upgrade the GPUs in a few years without losing all the investment in solar, as sats probably will.