Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 83.3%
Prognostiker
31
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet15. Dez. 25, 21:26 UTC31. Dez. 32, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will there be ≥10GW of data center capacity in space?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a data center on the moon Europa by EOY 2066?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 1GW of orbital data center compute by EOY 2031?
Manifold MarketsHow many states will adopt data center moratoriums in 2026?
KalshiAI data center in space by which date?
PolymarketWill another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Grok likes the idea: https://x.com/i/grok/share/6otnrhQyi5w5ras6YOK5vtq7n
- Update 2025-12-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Data centers in orbit around the moon do NOT count - only data centers physically on the lunar surface will count toward the 1 GW threshold.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028-2.0pt59.8%
- 2027-8.0pt30.8%
- 2026+1.0pt9.3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 225.903,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 156.962,9 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,4 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.5pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.4pt26.7%
- Grok-2.4pt5.7%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+6.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-max+7.0pt9%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+5.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+6.0pt79.1%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.8%
- Gemini2.7%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 348.290,1 €
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Tencent market share this week
- Anthropic market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will there be over 1 GW of data center on the moon by EOY 2032??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 83% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will there be over 1 GW of data center on the moon by EOY 2032? entschieden?
- Will there be over 1 GW of data center on the moon by EOY 2032? soll am 31. Dezember 2032 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will there be over 1 GW of data center on the moon by EOY 2032? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Grok likes the idea: https://x.com/i/grok/share/6otnrhQyi5w5ras6YOK5vtq7n