Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseCollatz conjecture is true 84.7%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Stunden
Veraltet14. Apr. 22, 15:57 UTC1. Jan. 50, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
If someone publishes a counterexample Collatz conjecture and the mathematical community accepts it, this market resolves to that number.
- If someone publishes a proof of Collatz conjecture and the mathematical community accepts it, this market resolves #1.
- If this market doesn't resolve by the end of 2049, it resolves N/A. Apr 14, 12:08am: This was inspired by my Discord conversation with Gurkenglas about free-response market mechanisms.
- The point was to test / demonstrate a specific type of market failure with the current mechanism.
- Note: When I created this market the answers were numbered. #1 refers to the first answer submitted, in this case "the named outcome".
