Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 56.2%
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Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet13. Okt. 22, 04:59 UTC1. Jan. 00, 04:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Clay Mathematics Institute formally recognize OpenAI's Navier-Stokes solution as correct before 2029?
Manifold MarketsIf I switch majors from Finance to Applied Mathematics, will I regret it in May 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI co-author a mathematics research paper published in a reputable journal before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIs Earth flat?
PolymarketUS test scores in Reading in 2026?
KalshiWill Duke University rank first overall in 2027?
ForecastExRegeln
Auflösungskriterien sind für diesen Markt noch nicht verfügbar. Dieser Abschnitt wird nach den nächsten Aktualisierungen gefüllt, sobald die Quellregeln gespeichert sind.
Offene Märkte
SciencePOLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.4pt4%
- September 30-0.3pt1%
- April 300%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 59,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 97.847,5 €
KALSHIWill the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?
- Before Jan 20, 202921%
- Before 2028+3.0pt15%
- Before 2027-0.4pt5%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,6 Mio. €
KALSHIWhen will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?
- Before 203580%
- Before 2030-9.1pt62%
- Before 2029-7.9pt17%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 270.962 €
POLYMARKETWhere will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?
- 1-2.0pt74.8%
- 2+0.5pt24.2%
- 3-0.1pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETHantavirus vaccine in 2026?
- No+0.1pt97%
- Yes-0.1pt3%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 119.984,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1263,9 €
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
- Yes+3.3pt76%
- No24%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 303.254,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1249,9 €
- When will an AI lab solve another Millennium Prize Problem?
- How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- Will the number of major hurricanes in the Atlantic exceed 0 in October 2026?
- Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?
- AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Min Arctic sea ice extent this summer?
- US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
- When will the Hodge Conjecture be resolved?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Was mathematics created (YES) or discovered (NO)??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 56% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Was mathematics created (YES) or discovered (NO)? entschieden?
- Was mathematics created (YES) or discovered (NO)? soll am 1. Januar 2100 entschieden werden.