Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Claude (Anthropic) 65.3%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-17.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet28. Dez. 25, 11:35 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will the next Muse model family be named?
Polymarketanother @subquadratic twitter announcement about SubQ model family, in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiGemini 4.0 released by which date?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve based on the official LMSYS chatbot arena leaderboard (Overall Category).
- Resolution Value: The market resolves to the Model Family that holds the #1 rank on the leaderboard as of December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT.
- If the leaderboard has a specific "last updated" timestamp, the update closest to (but not after) the deadline will be used.
- Definition of "Model Family":
- OpenAI: Includes all GPT-4, GPT-5, or subsequent models.
- Anthropic: Includes all Claude 3, 3.5, 4, or subsequent models.