Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 65.3%
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17
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden
Veraltet23. Jan. 26, 18:04 UTC3. Jan. 28, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which company will be the first to deploy >10,000 humanoid robots?
Manifold MarketsWill 1M humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill 100K humanoid robots be manufactured before 2028?
Manifold MarketsUK social media ban in effect by which date?
PolymarketX banned in any European country by December 31?
PolymarketWhen will the UK's social media ban take effect?
KalshiRegeln
Today at the WEF in Davos, Elon Musk announced that Tesla plans to sell Optimus humanoid robots to the public by the end of 2027.
- This market exists to track that predication.
- https://www.axios.com/2026/01/22/elon-musk-tesla-optimus-robots
- https://www.cbsnews.com/news/elon-musk-davos-world-economic-forum/
- This market resolves YES if Tesla offers the Optimus robots for sale to the general public (in the US, the EU, or comparably sized set of markets) and completes more than one such sale to a non-Tesla-affiliated buyer, including delivering the robot (no "pay today deliver never" FSD-style shenanigans).
- If the robots are claimed to be out for delivery at market close, resolution will be paused to await their unboxing.
Offene Märkte
EuropePOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt74%
- New People (NL)-3.0pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 617.449 €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.9pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-1.0pt84.2%
- Yes+1.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 821.515,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 107.747,7 €
POLYMARKETMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- AfD+2.0pt78.4%
- SPD-1.0pt21.6%
- CDU0%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+1.0pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-2.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.8pt1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- Berlin State Election Winner
- NATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: S Vote Share?
- AfD wins the most seats in how many September state elections?
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
- Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Tesla sells humanoid robots to the public in 2027?
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 65% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Tesla sells humanoid robots to the public in 2027 entschieden?
- Tesla sells humanoid robots to the public in 2027 soll am 3. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Tesla sells humanoid robots to the public in 2027 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Today at the WEF in Davos, Elon Musk announced that Tesla plans to sell Optimus humanoid robots to the public by the end of 2027.