PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 85%
Marktqualitat
43 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
2,9 €
Liquidität
286,1 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
12.0% / 18.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
7
7d-Änderung
+2.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
31. März 26, 19:53 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Russia invade any NATO country before 31 December 2026?
Manifold MarketsEuropean country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by which date?
PolymarketWill a Fifth European country make it legal to pay blood plasma donors before EOY 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any European country initiate withdrawal from NATO by the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the use of X/Twitter is banned within any European country by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a “European country” is defined as any of the following sovereign states: Albania, Andorra, Austria, Belarus, Belgium, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czechia, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Iceland, Ireland, Italy, Kosovo, Latvia, Liechtenstein, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Moldova, Monaco, Montenegro, Netherlands, North Macedonia, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, San Marino, Serbia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and Vatican City.
- A ban will qualify if legislation is enacted or government action is taken to bar the respective country's citizens from downloading and/or viewing X/Twitter, and/or posting on X/Twitter.
- Any legislation or government action that meets these standards will qualify, regardless of whether or when the ban goes into effect.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the respective government and X/Twitter; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.