Manifold thinks the Iranian regime is in a stronger position on the anniversary of the start of Operation Epic Fury
Middle EastGeopolitik5MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseStronger 50.3%Führend unter 3 Optionen
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Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet8. Apr. 26, 01:46 UTC1. März 27, 02:43 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Outcome of Operation Epic Fury (Iran 2026):
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketIf Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
LimitlessWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
PolymarketRegeln
On February 28th 2027 I'll create a poll asking "Is the Islamic regime of Iran in a stronger or weaker position than before Operation Epic Fury started?".
- Possible answers will be "stronger", "the named outcome" and "weaker".
- The poll will run for a week and this market will resolve to the poll's answer.
- If there is a tie I'll pass the tiebreaker.
Offene Märkte
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 25,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 694.974,4 €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 6,9 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 107.602,4 €
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 104.509,2 €
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Manifold thinks the Iranian regime is in a stronger position on the anniversary of the start of Operation Epic Fury?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Stronger mit 50% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Manifold thinks the Iranian regime is in a stronger position on the anniversary of the start of Operation Epic Fury entschieden?
- Manifold thinks the Iranian regime is in a stronger position on the anniversary of the start of Operation Epic Fury soll am 1. März 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Manifold thinks the Iranian regime is in a stronger position on the anniversary of the start of Operation Epic Fury abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: On February 28th 2027 I'll create a poll asking "Is the Islamic regime of Iran in a stronger or weaker position than before Operation Epic Fury started?".