Manifold thinks the Iranian regime is in a stronger position on the anniversary of the start of Operation Epic Fury
Naher OstenGeopolitik4MonManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 24.10.2026, 11:11 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseStronger 50.3%Führend unter 3 Optionen
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet8. Apr. 26, 01:46 UTC1. März 27, 02:43 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketIf Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf the US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf the US strikes Iran by June 30th, 2026, will the Iranian regime fall in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime be overthrown?
Manifold MarketsWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
LimitlessRegeln
On February 28th 2027 I'll create a poll asking "Is the Islamic regime of Iran in a stronger or weaker position than before Operation Epic Fury started?".
- Possible answers will be "stronger", "the named outcome" and "weaker".
- The poll will run for a week and this market will resolve to the poll's answer.
- If there is a tie I'll pass the tiebreaker.