Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseMerch store 100%Führend unter 31 Optionen
Prognostiker
208
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+1.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet5. Jan. 26, 23:40 UTC1. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
Which features will Manifold ship in 2026? The feature must appear live on the site before the end of 2026.
- (External PRs that have been merged will count.)
- Update 2026-01-07 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the named outcome: Must be a real subscription (not a one-time purchase without automatic monthly payments).
- Can potentially be in Mana rather than real currency.
- Update 2026-05-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For the named outcome: This answer does not need to be implemented by the Manifold team directly — external PRs that have been merged will also count toward resolution.
Offene Märkte
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.6pt68.9%
- ChatGPT+0.4pt12.6%
- Gemini+1.6pt10.7%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 87.431,2 €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-11.0pt69%
- December 15,-8.5pt65%
- November 30,-5.0pt50%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHITencent market share this week
- Above 5.6%+18.0pt99%
- Above 2.7%99%
- Above 4.5%99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 228.542,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIDeepSeek market share this week
- Above 24.3%+13.0pt99%
- Above 24.7%+30.0pt99%
- Above 23.6%+1.0pt99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt25%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt19.8%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.7%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.55%99%
- Above 2.05%99%
- Above 2.25%99%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 239.258,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 53.282,1 €
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- OpenAI market share this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Anthropic lab leak by which date?
- Best AI this week
- When will the U.S. enact an AI kill switch law?
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Manifold features launched in 2026?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Merch store mit 100% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Manifold features launched in 2026 entschieden?
- Manifold features launched in 2026 soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Manifold features launched in 2026 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Which features will Manifold ship in 2026? The feature must appear live on the site before the end of 2026.